Monday, September 22, 2008

Red Flags

Emotions of the collective are ruling the roost.  The European markets are showing their level of confidence in what congress is doing with the proposed bailout by the Feds.  With a big run to commodities, especially oil at a jump of $25 in one session, that is a sure sign that there is information in the subconscious about to surface that reflects a stark picture of our financial system.  

Democrats and Republicans are working to add more to what the Fed recommended to stabilize the system.  Making the government have access to owning the company's stock who sells the 'toxic mortages' is a form of nationalization like what happened with Frannie, Freddie, and AIG.  This dilutes the value for the stockholders, like you and me.  Even those big mutual funds and institutions holding shares are made up of contributions by the individual.  Now we have an idea of the exposure of number of companies that may have their shares diluted by just looking at the list where short selling is not allowed.  The list grew bigger today.  

One other addition I would like to comment on is a provision to help mortgage holders prevent foreclosure.  What about those who have the financial capability to pay their mortgage, yet walked away because the loan is worth more than the home?  What percentage of the overall defaults are made up of these individuals?  They do not need to be rescued.

Going back to my original post of 9/15 and talking about the 'Big Bang,' the latest is the collider is out of commission for at least two months.  I predict there is a timeline similar for the markets and the turmoil to continue.  

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